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What will be the outcome of Israel's appeal against ICC arrest warrants by December 31, 2025?
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International Criminal Court•ICC•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Yoav Gallant•Hamas•Gaza•Netanyahu•Gallant•UN•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Appeal successful, warrants withdrawn • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, warrants upheld • 25%
Appeal partially successful, warrants modified • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Official ICC ruling or statement
Story
Israel to Appeal ICC Arrest Warrants Against Netanyahu, Gallant, and Hamas Leader
Nov 27, 2024, 04:43 PM
The International Criminal Court (ICC) has issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and Hamas commander Mohammed Diab Ibrahim Al-Masri, accusing them of war crimes and crimes against humanity related to the conflict in Gaza. The charges against Netanyahu and Gallant include allegations of using starvation as a weapon of war, blocking aid, murder, persecution, and failing to protect the civilian population. UN experts have urged full compliance with the ICC arrest warrants. In response, Israel has rejected the ICC's jurisdiction, labeling the charges as "absurd" and lacking any factual or legal basis. Netanyahu has notified the ICC that Israel will appeal the arrest warrants and has requested to delay their execution pending the appeal. The ICC's decision has intensified Israel's global isolation and presents a significant challenge for the nation in the international arena.
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Appeal Accepted • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Appeal Partially Accepted • 25%
Withdrawn by Israel • 25%
ICC accepts jurisdiction • 25%
ICC rejects jurisdiction • 25%
Appeal is still pending • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal successful, warrants revoked • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, warrants upheld • 25%
Appeal partially successful, conditions modified • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority support Israel • 25%
Majority oppose Israel • 25%
Neutral or mixed responses • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Netanyahu surrenders • 25%
Warrant withdrawn • 25%
Netanyahu tried in absentia • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Warrants upheld • 25%
Warrants overturned • 25%
Jurisdiction not recognized • 25%
Case postponed • 25%
Warrant enforced and Netanyahu arrested • 25%
Warrant remains but not enforced • 25%
Warrant withdrawn • 25%
ICC takes no further action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
