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What will be the outcome of Israel's troop deployment in Syria by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete withdrawal with no incidents • 25%
Prolonged deployment due to ongoing threats • 25%
Escalation into wider conflict • 25%
Deployment leads to peace negotiations • 25%
Reports from international organizations, government statements, or credible news agencies.
Story
Israel Informs U.S. of Troop Deployment in Syria, Describes Actions as Temporary and Tactical for Self-Defense Against Terrorist Groups
Dec 10, 2024, 09:59 AM
Israel has informed Washington of its intention to deploy troops into Syrian territory, with U.S. officials indicating that there is no opposition to this move. The Israeli military's actions are described as temporary and tactical, aimed at defending its borders against terrorist groups. A spokesperson from the U.S. State Department confirmed that Israel's operations in Syria are considered self-defense, especially following the removal of the Bashar al-Assad government by rebel factions. The U.S. has acknowledged Israel's right to take action against terrorist organizations operating near its borders.
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Complete Withdrawal • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Increased Presence • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Israel withdraws troops • 25%
Israel maintains presence • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Withdrawal without conflict • 25%
Extended military conflict • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ongoing occupation • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Continued presence with limited engagement • 25%
Expansion of control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Withdrawal without conditions • 25%
Withdrawal with conditions • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Escalation to broader conflict • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Continued presence • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
IDF maintains control in targeted areas • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
IDF withdraws without achieving objectives • 25%
Operations escalate into broader conflict • 25%
Airstrikes on arms convoys • 25%
Targeted strikes on Iranian militia bases • 25%
No military action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased tensions with Russia • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel invades Lebanon • 25%
Increased skirmishes but no invasion • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
New security agreement reached • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%