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What will be the outcome of Israeli strategic goals in northern Gaza by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strategic goals achieved • 25%
Partial achievement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Strategic failure • 25%
Reports from the Israeli government or military
Story
Netanyahu Considers 'General's Plan' to Cut Off Aid to Northern Gaza, Target Hamas Militants
Oct 13, 2024, 03:11 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is considering a plan to cut off humanitarian aid to northern Gaza. The plan, known as the 'General's Plan,' proposed by a retired general and reported by Haaretz, aims to starve out Hamas militants by blocking essential supplies to the population. This strategy could trap hundreds of thousands of Palestinians, including over 100,000 in Jabalia and its surrounding neighborhoods, without access to food, water, or medicine. The plan, if implemented, would classify remaining Palestinians as combatants, thereby allowing Israeli troops to take further military actions. It also aims to reverse the IDF's inability to achieve strategic goals.
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Successful • 33%
Unsuccessful • 33%
Ongoing • 34%
Continued airstrikes with increasing casualties • 25%
Decreased airstrikes with fewer casualties • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Fully Achieved • 25%
Partially Achieved • 25%
Not Achieved • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant Israeli gains • 25%
Significant Hamas gains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
IDF conducts another major operation • 25%
Hamas carries out a significant retaliatory attack • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas victory • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Hamas leadership eliminated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
IDF victory • 25%
Hamas retains control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
No operation • 25%
Limited operation • 25%
Moderate operation • 25%
Full-scale operation • 25%
Successful rescue of hostages • 25%
Failure to rescue hostages • 25%
Significant casualties without rescue • 25%
Operation aborted • 25%
Full Israeli control • 25%
Partial Israeli control • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful destruction of Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Significant Hamas casualties • 25%
Civilian casualties • 25%
Other • 25%