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What will be the outcome of the next significant IDF operation in Gaza by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful rescue of hostages • 25%
Failure to rescue hostages • 25%
Significant casualties without rescue • 25%
Operation aborted • 25%
Official IDF statements, news reports from credible sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Hamas Orders Execution of Six Israeli Hostages if IDF Approaches
Sep 2, 2024, 06:35 PM
Hamas has issued new instructions to its operatives regarding the handling of Israeli hostages, according to Abu Ubeidah, the spokesperson for the group's armed wing, Al Qassam Brigades. The directive reportedly instructs guards to execute hostages if Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) approach their detention sites. This decision follows a recent incident in Nuseirat, related to a rescue operation involving Israeli hostage Noa Argamani. Hamas has acknowledged the execution of six Israeli hostages, affirming that the change in policy is a response to Israeli military actions.
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Destruction of Hamas tunnel • 25%
Airstrikes on Hamas positions • 25%
Capture of key Hamas leaders • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful with no casualties • 25%
Successful with casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful with no casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful with casualties • 25%
Successful destruction of Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Significant Hamas casualties • 25%
Civilian casualties • 25%
Other • 25%
Elimination of a high-ranking commander • 25%
Neutralization of a terror cell • 25%
Capture of key intelligence • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Other • 25%
IDF Victory • 25%
Hamas Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Air Strikes • 25%
Ground Invasion • 25%
Naval Blockade • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Recovery of hostages • 25%
Destruction of tunnels • 25%
Capture of militants • 25%
Rescue Operation • 25%
Air Strikes • 25%
Ground Invasion • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
IDF gains control of key areas • 25%
Hamas retains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%