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What will be the outcome of Israeli military operations in response to the West Bank bus attack by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful capture of suspects • 25%
Increased tensions without capture • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli military or credible news outlets
Story
Three Israelis Killed, Seven Wounded in West Bank Bus Attack Near Kedumim
Jan 6, 2025, 08:03 AM
Three Israelis were killed and several others injured in a shooting attack near the village of Al Funduq, close to Kedumim in the West Bank. Two Palestinian gunmen opened fire on a bus and vehicles along Highway 55, killing two women in their 60s and a man in his 40s. Seven others were injured, including a four-year-old girl and a 63-year-old man who is in critical condition. The attack occurred in the early morning, and the assailants fled the scene. Israeli forces have launched a massive manhunt, deploying helicopters and additional troops to the area. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed, "We will reach the murderers and bring them to justice and everyone who helped them."
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No significant change • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
Partial Israeli control • 25%
Full Israeli control • 25%
Complete victory over Iran and proxies • 25%
Stalemate with no clear victor • 25%
Partial victory with ongoing conflicts • 25%
Significant setbacks for Israel • 25%
Assailants killed • 25%
Other • 25%
Assailants remain at large • 25%
Assailants captured • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant disarmament • 25%
Partial disarmament • 25%
Complete disarmament of Hezbollah • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Other significant outcomes • 25%
No significant outcomes • 25%
Apprehension of attackers • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Condemnation by US • 25%
No major international response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No military response • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Airstrikes only • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Significant Houthi infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Limited Houthi infrastructure damaged • 25%
No significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Limited engagement only • 25%
Successful large-scale attack • 25%
No military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hamas retains capabilities • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Hamas significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Limited damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
No reported damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%