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What will be the outcome of Iran's diplomatic strategy with the US by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Resumption of talks • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Official statements from Iranian or US government or reports from reputable news agencies
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Iran Suspends Indirect Talks with US Via Oman Amid Regional Tensions
Oct 14, 2024, 11:23 AM
Iran has announced the suspension of indirect talks with the United States, mediated by Oman, due to escalating regional tensions. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that there are no grounds for continuing these discussions, citing America's systematic dishonesty and the current state of war in the region. The 'Muscat process' of indirect talks has halted, and Iran has conveyed messages to the US through intermediaries. The decision reflects Iran's assessment that there is no benefit in exchanging messages with the US under the current circumstances. The announcement was reported by IRNA and Sky News Arabia.
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Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions without resolution • 25%
Increased military confrontation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of threats • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Breakdown of talks • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful hostage release • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Sanctions Imposed on Israel • 25%
Official Condemnation of Israel • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
No change in tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Status quo • 25%