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What will be the U.S. foreign policy outcome towards Iran by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Official U.S. government policy statements and actions
Story
Trump Leaves Open Possibility of War with Iran in Second Term Amid Volatile Situation
Dec 12, 2024, 02:41 PM
In an interview with TIME magazine, President-elect Donald Trump did not rule out the possibility of a military conflict with Iran during his upcoming second term. When asked about the likelihood of war with Iran, Trump responded, 'Anything can happen. Anything can happen. It's a very volatile situation.' This statement comes amidst heightened tensions between the U.S. and Iran, with Trump's administration previously accusing the Revolutionary Guards of attempting to assassinate him, a claim Iran has denied. Trump's comments also reflect his broader foreign policy approach, which includes a policy of 'maximum pressure' on Iran, marked by his withdrawal from the JCPOA nuclear deal in 2018 and the reinstatement of economic sanctions against Tehran.
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Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Continuation of current policy • 25%
Complete policy overhaul • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Covert Operations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Successful hostage release • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of threats • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
De-escalation and improved relations • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Breakdown of talks • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Nuclear negotiations • 25%
Security threats • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Human rights issues • 25%