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What will be the outcome of Iran's cease-fire suggestion in Gaza and Lebanon by January 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Cease-fire agreed • 25%
Cease-fire rejected • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from involved parties and credible news reports
Story
Iran Suggests Cease-Fire in Gaza Strip and Lebanon Over Retaliation Against Israel
Oct 26, 2024, 06:51 PM
Iran's military has issued a statement on Saturday night suggesting that a cease-fire in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon is preferable to any retaliation against Israel. This comes after more than 100 Israeli fighter jets and unmanned drones struck Iranian military targets in response to Iran's previous actions. The statement from Iran's General Staff marks a significant shift in Iran's stance, emphasizing the importance of a cease-fire over direct confrontation. This development follows Israel's first ever open attack on Iranian soil.
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Ceasefire holds with full compliance • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor violations • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Agreement not reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Ceasefire discussions ongoing • 25%
Agreement finalized and implemented • 25%
Agreement finalized but not implemented • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran fully supports the agreement • 25%
Iran supports with reservations • 25%
Iran opposes the agreement • 25%
Iran remains neutral • 25%
Ceasefire fully implemented • 25%
Ceasefire partially implemented • 25%
Ceasefire not implemented • 25%
Ceasefire broken before completion • 25%
Ceasefire in both Gaza and Lebanon • 25%
Ceasefire in Gaza only • 25%
Ceasefire in Lebanon only • 25%
No ceasefire in either region • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Minor skirmishes occur • 25%
Major conflict resumes • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
No official talks • 25%
Ceasefire agreed and implemented • 25%
Ceasefire agreed but not implemented • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations extended • 25%
Cease-fire agreement with hostage release • 25%
Cease-fire agreement without hostage release • 25%
No cease-fire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%