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What will be the change in military actions in Gaza and Lebanon involving Iran and Israel by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military actions • 25%
Decreased military actions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and official military statements
Story
Iran Suggests Cease-Fire in Gaza Strip and Lebanon Over Retaliation Against Israel
Oct 26, 2024, 06:51 PM
Iran's military has issued a statement on Saturday night suggesting that a cease-fire in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon is preferable to any retaliation against Israel. This comes after more than 100 Israeli fighter jets and unmanned drones struck Iranian military targets in response to Iran's previous actions. The statement from Iran's General Staff marks a significant shift in Iran's stance, emphasizing the importance of a cease-fire over direct confrontation. This development follows Israel's first ever open attack on Iranian soil.
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Successful strike with Arab support • 25%
Unsuccessful strike • 25%
No strike occurs • 25%
Strike occurs but without Arab support • 25%
Increased airstrikes by Israel • 25%
Increased rocket attacks by Gaza • 25%
Ground invasion by Israel • 25%
No significant military actions • 25%
Iran Victory • 25%
Israel Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Missile attack by Hezbollah • 25%
Airstrike by Israel • 25%
Ground incursion by Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
No conflict occurs • 25%
Airstrike by Israel • 25%
Missile attack by Iran • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Major conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Israel conducts airstrikes on Iran • 25%
Iran retaliates against Israel • 25%
Both countries engage in conflict • 25%
No military action occurs • 25%
