Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Germany's warnings to Assad supporters by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No attempts made • 25%
Attempts made but prevented • 25%
Some attempts successful • 25%
Widespread success in seeking refuge • 25%
Official German government reports or credible international news agencies
Story
Germany Warns Assad Supporters Against Seeking Refuge Amid Revelations of Alois Brunner's Torture Methods
Dec 15, 2024, 04:38 AM
Alois Brunner, a notorious Nazi war criminal, lived in Syria for over half his life, where he served as an adviser to the Assad regime. His involvement included teaching methods of torture and repression, which influenced the practices of Bashar al-Assad, continuing a legacy of brutality established by his father, Hafez al-Assad. Reports indicate that Brunner, who died in Syria, was part of a network of Nazi officers who escaped Europe and were employed by the Assad regime since the 1970s to train Syrian officials in torture techniques. In response to these revelations, German officials, including Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock, have issued warnings to supporters of the Assad regime against seeking refuge in Germany, stating that they will be held accountable for their crimes. Security checks have been implemented at the borders to prevent any such attempts, emphasizing Germany's commitment to pursuing justice for the actions of the Assad regime and its allies.
View original story
Similar markets
No Actions Taken • 25%
Convictions • 25%
Acquittals • 25%
Ongoing Trials • 25%
Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No Response • 25%
Other diplomatic developments • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
Embassy reopening • 25%
Italy denies support • 25%
Italy confirms support • 25%
International investigation launched • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased support for Syrian opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for HTS • 25%
Continued neutrality • 25%
Assad is overthrown • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down voluntarily • 25%
Assad is exiled • 25%
Loses significant territory • 25%
Regains full control • 25%
Maintains current control • 25%
Regime collapse • 25%
Majority rejections • 25%
Other • 25%
Equal approvals and rejections • 25%
Majority approvals • 25%
Rebel forces take control • 25%
International intervention leads to new governance • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
Rebels establish new government • 25%
International intervention leads to resolution • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad Regime remains in power • 25%