Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Germany's asylum decisions for Syrians by the end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority approvals • 25%
Majority rejections • 25%
Equal approvals and rejections • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcement from Germany's Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF)
Story
Germany Halts Asylum Decisions for 47,270 Syrians After Assad's Fall
Dec 9, 2024, 12:08 PM
Germany's Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF) has temporarily suspended all asylum decisions for Syrian nationals following the fall of former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. This decision affects approximately 47,270 asylum applications, with about 46,000 being initial requests. The suspension comes as the situation in Syria is deemed too volatile to make reliable asylum decisions. Existing asylum decisions remain unaffected by this pause. The BAMF cited the need to assess the current conditions in Syria before proceeding with new decisions. This move reflects concerns that any rulings made under the current circumstances would be on shaky ground.
View original story
Similar markets
Resumed with stricter criteria • 25%
Not resumed • 25%
Resumed without changes • 25%
Resumed with more lenient criteria • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resumption with same criteria • 25%
Permanent suspension • 25%
Resumption with stricter criteria • 25%
Resumed • 25%
Other • 25%
Extended suspension • 25%
Deportations initiated • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 • 25%
20,001 to 30,000 • 25%
More than 30,000 • 25%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Initiate deportations • 25%
Maintain current policy • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Resumed without changes • 25%
Resumed with more lenient criteria • 25%
Not resumed • 25%
Resumed with stricter criteria • 25%
Applications approved • 25%
Alternative resolution • 25%
Applications rejected • 25%
Applications remain pending • 25%
Continued suspension • 25%
Other • 25%
Resumption of asylum applications • 25%
Increased deportations • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
More than 1000 • 25%
501 to 1000 • 25%
100 to 500 • 25%
