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What will be the outcome of Germany's February 2025 elections regarding immigration policies?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stricter immigration policies • 25%
Looser immigration policies • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Official election results and policy statements from the winning party
Story
Germany to Extend Border Controls Beyond March 2025, Arresting 1,800 Smugglers and Turning Back 40,000
Dec 30, 2024, 11:43 AM
Germany plans to extend its border controls beyond March 2025 in an effort to combat illegal migration, according to Interior Minister Nancy Faeser. The measures have already led to the arrest of approximately 1,800 smugglers and the turning back of around 40,000 individuals at the borders. Faeser stated that these controls are necessary until the protection of the EU's external borders is significantly strengthened. The decision comes amid heightened security concerns following recent attacks and ahead of the February 2025 elections, where immigration and security are central issues.
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Other outcome • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nationalist party wins majority • 25%
Traditional party wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
Coalition government • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed excluding AfD • 25%
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AfD wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other • 25%
Economy • 25%
Foreign policy/Russia • 25%
Immigration • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Social welfare and minimum wage increases • 25%
Infrastructure and defense investments • 25%
Economic growth and inflation control • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms government • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Climate Change • 25%
Economy • 25%
Healthcare • 25%
Immigration • 25%
AfD gains seats but not largest opposition • 25%
AfD becomes largest opposition party • 25%
AfD remains similar to current standing • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%