Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No change in conflict status • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Official announcements from international diplomatic organizations or involved governments
Story
Russia Intercepts Eight US-Made ATACMS Missiles Fired at Belgorod, Warns of Hypersonic Strikes on Kyiv
Jan 4, 2025, 11:30 AM
Russia's Defense Ministry announced that it intercepted eight US-made ATACMS missiles launched by Ukraine towards the Belgorod region. The missiles were reportedly shot down by S-400 and Pantsir-SM air defense systems. Moscow warned that the use of ATACMS missiles could prompt a hypersonic ballistic missile attack on central Kyiv, and vowed retaliation for the attempted strikes. The use of US-supplied ATACMS missiles represents an escalation in the conflict, as these long-range missiles can strike deep into Russian territory.
View original story
Similar markets
Continued conflict • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Successful De-escalation • 25%
Increased Hostilities • 25%
Continued Tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
Permanent ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions or diplomatic pressure • 25%
Successful peace talks • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Comprehensive Peace Agreement • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%