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Russia Intercepts Eight US-Made ATACMS Missiles Fired at Belgorod, Warns of Hypersonic Strikes on Kyiv

Jan 4, 2025, 11:30 AM

Russia's Defense Ministry announced that it intercepted eight US-made ATACMS missiles launched by Ukraine towards the Belgorod region. The missiles were reportedly shot down by S-400 and Pantsir-SM air defense systems. Moscow warned that the use of ATACMS missiles could prompt a hypersonic ballistic missile attack on central Kyiv, and vowed retaliation for the attempted strikes. The use of US-supplied ATACMS missiles represents an escalation in the conflict, as these long-range missiles can strike deep into Russian territory.

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Will Russia and Ukraine engage in peace talks by the end of 2025?

Russia•Defense Ministry•Ukraine•Belgorod•Moscow•Kyiv•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the Russian or Ukrainian governments or reports from international diplomatic organizations

Will Russia conduct a hypersonic missile strike on Kyiv by March 31, 2025?

Russia•Defense Ministry•Ukraine•Belgorod•Moscow•Kyiv•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Verified reports from international news agencies such as BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Russian or Ukrainian governments

Will Ukraine use ATACMS missiles against Russia again by June 30, 2025?

Russia•Defense Ministry•Ukraine•Belgorod•Moscow•Kyiv•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Verified reports from international news agencies such as BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Ukrainian government

What will be the international response to the ATACMS missile interception by February 28, 2025?

Russia•Defense Ministry•Ukraine•Belgorod•Moscow•Kyiv•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Call for de-escalation • 25%

No official response • 25%

Condemnation of Ukraine's actions • 25%

Support for Ukraine's actions • 25%

Official statements from NATO, the United Nations, or major countries involved

What will be the next significant military action involving long-range missiles by March 31, 2025?

Russia•Defense Ministry•Ukraine•Belgorod•Moscow•Kyiv•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Russia using hypersonic missiles • 25%

Both sides using long-range missiles • 25%

Neither side using long-range missiles • 25%

Ukraine using ATACMS again • 25%

Verified reports from international news agencies such as BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Russian or Ukrainian governments

What will be the outcome of diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict by the end of 2025?

Russia•Defense Ministry•Ukraine•Belgorod•Moscow•Kyiv•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Escalation of conflict • 25%

Successful peace agreement • 25%

Temporary ceasefire • 25%

No change in conflict status • 25%

Official announcements from international diplomatic organizations or involved governments