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What will be Netanyahu's stance on ceasefire negotiations with Hamas by August 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supports ceasefire • 25%
Opposes ceasefire • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No statement • 25%
Official statements from Israeli government, or credible news sources like CNN, BBC
Story
Hamas Leader Sinwar Seeks Ceasefire in Gaza Amid Unclear Israeli Stance
Aug 11, 2024, 02:49 PM
Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar is reportedly seeking a ceasefire agreement in Gaza, according to multiple sources, including CNN and mediators from Egypt and Qatar. This development comes as negotiations are ongoing, with Sinwar's intentions being conveyed to Israeli officials. However, the stance of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on this potential deal remains unclear. Rami Igra, a former head of the hostages and missing person directorate in the Mossad, expressed skepticism about Sinwar's willingness to reach a deal, stating that Sinwar 'does not want a deal and has no reason to achieve a deal right now.' The situation is unfolding ahead of a critical summit scheduled for later this week.
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Optimistic • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Pessimistic • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Strengthened • 25%
Weakened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Resigned • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement not reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire talks permanently halted • 25%
Other • 25%
Permanent ceasefire • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire talks break down completely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%