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What will be the next significant diplomatic move between Turkey and the US by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New trade agreement • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Cultural exchange program • 25%
No significant move • 25%
News reports from reputable sources such as BBC, CNN, or Al Jazeera
Story
Death of Fethullah Gulen Expected to Ease Turkey-US Tensions
Oct 22, 2024, 04:15 AM
The death of Fethullah Gulen, a prominent Turkish leader in the USA, is expected to remove a major point of friction between Turkey and the United States. Gulen, once an ally of the Turkish government, was later accused of masterminding a coup attempt in Turkey. His extradition had been a contentious issue between the two nations, described as a 'constant thorn in the relationship' by Soner Cagaptay in a statement to Ezgi Akin. With his passing, this issue is anticipated to no longer matter, potentially easing diplomatic tensions.
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Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Resolution through dialogue • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Signing of a trade agreement • 25%
Joint military cooperation announcement • 25%
Cultural exchange program initiation • 25%
Other • 25%
New security agreement • 25%
Formal apology from Turkey • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Full ambassador appointment • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Humanitarian aid initiative • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Another prisoner swap • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
Bilateral summit • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Another prisoner swap • 25%
Easing of sanctions • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
No major action • 25%
Improved with US, worsened with Russia • 25%
Worsened with US, improved with Russia • 25%
Worsened with both • 25%
Improved with both • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations unchanged • 25%
Diplomatic break • 25%