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What will be the next significant diplomatic action between the U.S. and Russia by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Another prisoner swap • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
Bilateral summit • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Russian government, credible news sources
Story
U.S. and Russia Conduct Largest Prisoner Swap Since USSR, Three Americans Land at Joint Base Andrews
Aug 2, 2024, 03:44 AM
The United States and Russia have conducted the largest prisoner swap since the end of the USSR. Three Americans, who had been held in Russian detention for years, were released and have arrived back in the U.S. The plane carrying the freed Americans landed at Joint Base Andrews, marking a significant moment in U.S.-Russia relations. The White House held a briefing to address the details of the historic exchange with Moscow and the conditions of the prisoners' release, as reported by AP.
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Another prisoner swap • 25%
Easing of sanctions • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
No major action • 25%
Summit Meeting • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
High-level diplomatic talks • 25%
Further accusations or retaliations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increase military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Engage in peace talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic talks with Russia • 25%
Military action or threats • 25%
No major action • 25%
Another prisoner swap • 25%
Economic agreement • 25%
Military de-escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement to de-escalate military activities • 25%
Continuation of current policies • 25%
Imposition of new sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic channels • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Military standoff • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Release of another American detainee • 25%
Lifting of specific trade restrictions • 25%
High-level diplomatic meeting • 25%
Other • 25%
Additional sanctions on China • 25%
Expulsion of more Chinese diplomats • 25%
Increased surveillance on Chinese entities • 25%
Other • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Economic partnership • 25%
Cultural exchange programs • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Other • 25%