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What will be the next major geopolitical shift in the Russia-Ukraine conflict by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace Talks Initiated • 25%
Increased Military Conflict • 25%
Change in US Policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from governments involved or reports from credible international news agencies.
Story
US Confirms Ukraine's ATACMS Use; Kyiv Strikes Russia Twice in Three Days
Nov 26, 2024, 03:40 AM
The United States has officially confirmed that it has authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-made ATACMS long-range missiles against Russia, specifically allowing strikes deep inside Russian territory, including the Kursk region. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby stated that Ukraine has permission to use ATACMS missiles for immediate self-defense needs, acknowledging a change in policy. This reflects growing U.S. support for Ukraine amid ongoing conflict with Russia and comes as Ukraine has reportedly carried out two such strikes in the last three days.
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Similar markets
Launch a new offensive • 25%
Defensive operations • 25%
Negotiations for peace • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
Russia gains significant territory • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Territory exchange through negotiation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Escalation in military conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant development • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New missile test • 25%
Increased troop movements • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No major developments • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine Victory • 25%
Russia Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
NATO declares war on Russia • 25%
US declares war on Russia • 25%
European country declares war on Russia • 25%
No major escalation • 25%
Ukrainian control • 25%
Russian control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Aerial attacks • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase conscription • 25%
Seek more international aid • 25%
Initiate peace talks • 25%
Other strategic changes • 25%