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What will be the key development in the Russia-Ukraine conflict involving NATO by June 30, 2025?
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Sergey Naryshkin•Russia•Foreign Intelligence Service•SVR•NATO•Ukraine•Russian•Western•RIA•National Defence•Naryshkin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Escalation in military conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant development • 25%
Reports from international organizations, news agencies
Story
Russia's Spy Chief Warns NATO Against Aiding Ukraine's Long-Range Strikes with Western Weapons
Nov 20, 2024, 09:12 AM
Sergey Naryshkin, the head of Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), has issued a stern warning to NATO countries against aiding Ukraine in conducting long-range strikes into Russian territory with Western weapons. In statements reported by RIA news agency and National Defence magazine, Naryshkin emphasized that any such attempts by NATO members would 'not go unpunished.' This warning comes amidst heightened tensions between Russia and NATO over the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Additionally, Naryshkin mentioned updates to Russia's nuclear doctrine, which now excludes the possibility of defeating its army on the battlefield, signaling a potential escalation in the region's military dynamics.
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Peace Talks Initiated • 25%
Increased Military Conflict • 25%
Change in US Policy • 25%
Other • 25%
New missile test • 25%
Increased troop movements • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No major developments • 25%
Increased security • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deterioration in security • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Troop deployment • 25%
Training centers established • 25%
Logistical support only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Launch a new offensive • 25%
Defensive operations • 25%
Negotiations for peace • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Direct military involvement • 25%
Increased military aid but no direct involvement • 25%
No change in current involvement • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic measures against Russia • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
