Loading...
Market
What will be the most likely origin theory for Covid-19 according to scientific consensus by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Natural spillover • 25%
Laboratory-related incident • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Other • 25%
Consensus reports from major scientific bodies or publications
Story
WHO Urges China to Share Covid-19 Origins Data, Citing Moral and Scientific Imperative, Five Years After Pandemic Start
Dec 30, 2024, 08:13 PM
The World Health Organization (WHO) has urged China to share data and provide access to information about the origins of Covid-19, marking five years since the start of the global pandemic. The WHO emphasized that understanding the origins of the virus is both a moral and scientific imperative, crucial for preventing and preparing for future epidemics and pandemics. The organization recalled that on December 31, 2019, its office in China was informed of cases of 'viral pneumonia' in Wuhan, which later evolved into the Covid-19 pandemic that has significantly impacted global health and economies.
View original story
Similar markets
Zoonotic transmission confirmed • 25%
Other theory • 25%
Combination of both • 25%
Lab leak confirmed • 25%
Lab origin confirmed • 25%
Animal origin confirmed • 25%
No new discovery • 25%
New hypothesis emerges • 25%
Lab origin • 33%
Natural origin • 33%
Inconclusive • 34%
Supports natural origin • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
No such study published • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed lab leak • 25%
Confirmed natural origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Animal market data • 25%
Other • 25%
Laboratory data • 25%
Environmental samples • 25%
No definitive conclusion • 25%
Calls for more research • 25%
Refutes lab leak • 25%
Confirms lab leak • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
No new findings • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Supports natural origin • 25%
No new significant findings • 25%
New evidence supports natural origin • 25%
New evidence supports lab origin • 25%
Further research required • 25%
Other actions • 25%
End current investigations • 25%
Issue new guidelines • 25%
Launch new investigation • 25%