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Will new evidence about COVID-19 origins be discovered in 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
major scientific journals or official WHO announcements
Story
On Pandemic's 5th Anniversary, WHO Calls China's Cooperation a "Moral Imperative" in COVID-19 Origins
Dec 30, 2024, 06:03 PM
Five years after the initial outbreak of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China, the World Health Organization (WHO) has renewed its call for China to share data and cooperate in understanding the virus's origins, deeming it a "moral and scientific imperative." On December 30, 2019, Wuhan doctors Dr. Li Wenliang and Dr. Ai Fen raised alarms about a cluster of pneumonia cases linked to a SARS-related coronavirus. Dr. Li, who was later reprimanded by authorities and tragically died 39 days after his warning, had alerted colleagues via WeChat. Since the first cases were reported to the WHO on December 31, 2019, COVID-19 has resulted in over 777 million infections and 7 million deaths worldwide. The WHO continues to urge China for transparency to comprehend how the pandemic began.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Supports natural origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No new findings • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
No such study published • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Supports natural origin • 25%
Confirms lab leak • 25%
Refutes lab leak • 25%
Calls for more research • 25%
No definitive conclusion • 25%
No new significant findings • 25%
New evidence supports lab origin • 25%
New evidence supports natural origin • 25%
Further research required • 25%
Confirmed lab leak • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed natural origin • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Lab Leak Theory • 25%
Natural Zoonotic Origin • 25%
Other • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Laboratory data • 25%
Environmental samples • 25%
Other • 25%
Animal market data • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
