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What will be the most common voting outcome in similar small towns during the 2024 U.S. election?
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Dixville Notch•New Hampshire•Election Day•Republicans•Republican•Donald Trump•Democratic•Kamala Harris•Joe Biden
Resolution / Starting Odds
Republican • 33%
Democrat • 33%
Tie • 34%
Compilation of voting results from small towns with similar voting processes
Story
Trump and Harris Tie 3-3 in Dixville Notch's Historic Midnight Vote
Nov 5, 2024, 06:04 AM
Dixville Notch, a small township near the US-Canada border in New Hampshire, maintained its 65-year tradition of casting the first votes on Election Day by voting at midnight as the 2024 U.S. presidential election officially began. The six registered voters, comprising four Republicans and two undeclared, split their votes evenly between Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, with each receiving three votes. This tie marks the first-ever in the community's history and a significant shift from the 2020 election, when all five votes went to Joe Biden. The change in this year's midnight voting results reflects a notable alteration in the voting patterns of Dixville Notch, though with such a small sample size, it may not serve as a reliable indicator of the national election outcome.
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Similar markets
Matches National Winner • 25%
Matches National Runner-up • 25%
Matches Third Place • 25%
Matches None • 25%
Trump wins majority • 33%
Harris wins majority • 33%
Split evenly • 34%
Donald Trump wins majority • 25%
Kamala Harris wins majority • 25%
Other candidate wins majority • 25%
Split decision • 25%
More Republican Votes • 25%
More Democratic Votes • 25%
Same as 2020 • 25%
Shift to Third Party • 25%
Harris wins majority of battleground states • 25%
Trump wins majority of battleground states • 25%
Each wins an equal number of battleground states • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Democratic Win • 25%
Republican Win • 25%
Third Party Win • 25%
Other • 25%
Trump wins 312 or more electoral votes • 25%
Trump wins less than 312 electoral votes • 25%
Harris wins 270 or more electoral votes • 25%
No candidate wins 270 electoral votes • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other (Third-party candidate) • 25%
Tie between candidates • 25%
Michigan • 25%
Pennsylvania • 25%
Wisconsin • 25%
Other • 25%
Trump wins by 1-3 million • 25%
Trump wins by 3+ million • 25%
Harris wins by 1-3 million • 25%
Harris wins by 3+ million • 25%
