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What will be the leadership change within Hamas following Yahya Sinwar's reported death by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New leader appointed • 25%
Interim leadership • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Hamas or reliable news sources
Story
Reports Suggest Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar Killed in Israeli Strike an Hour Ago
Oct 17, 2024, 12:33 PM
Initial reports indicate that Yahya Sinwar, the head of Hamas, has been eliminated an hour ago in an Israeli strike in central Gaza. Several Israeli media outlets have claimed his death, though confirmation is still pending. Photos circulating online show a corpse resembling Sinwar, but these images have since been removed following a censorship request. The strike reportedly occurred in Rafah, and the situation remains unconfirmed as of now.
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