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What will be the confirmed outcome of the Israeli strike on Yahya Sinwar by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed killed • 25%
Confirmed alive • 25%
Status unclear • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from Hamas or Israeli government, or reliable international news agencies
Story
Reports Suggest Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar Killed in Israeli Strike an Hour Ago
Oct 17, 2024, 12:33 PM
Initial reports indicate that Yahya Sinwar, the head of Hamas, has been eliminated an hour ago in an Israeli strike in central Gaza. Several Israeli media outlets have claimed his death, though confirmation is still pending. Photos circulating online show a corpse resembling Sinwar, but these images have since been removed following a censorship request. The strike reportedly occurred in Rafah, and the situation remains unconfirmed as of now.
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Confirmed Unharmed • 25%
Confirmed Dead • 25%
Confirmed Alive • 25%
Confirmed Injured • 25%
Status Unknown • 25%
Killed • 25%
Injured • 25%
Alive and uninjured • 25%
Status unknown • 25%
Captured • 25%
Killed • 25%
Still at large • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Condemnation of the strike • 25%
Support for the strike • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel's action • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for Investigation • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%