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VisitWho will lead Hamas after the recent strikes by December 31, 2024?
Muhammad Sinwar • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Hamas or credible news sources
Israeli Officials: Hamas Chief Deif Likely Killed in Gaza Strike, Netanyahu Visits Rafah
Jul 18, 2024, 12:19 PM
Israeli officials have informed the US that the chances of Hamas terror chief Muhammad Deif surviving a recent assassination strike are very slim, according to intelligence estimates. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) are increasingly certain that Deif died in the strike, which took place in Khan Yunis this past Saturday. Several of Deif's bodyguards were also eliminated in the Gaza strike. Hamas is currently experiencing significant instability and losses, with fighters in 'survival mode'. Senior Israeli officials believe that the position for head of Hamas's military wing will likely go to Muhammad Sinwar, the brother of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu visited Rafah in southern Gaza, likely feeling confident due to the eliminations of key Hamas figures, including Deif. Israeli intelligence has also released intercepted phone calls between Gazan civilians on July 13 praising the assassination of Deif and expressing hope that Yahya Sinwar will be next.
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Khaled Mashal • 25%
Khaled Meshaal • 25%
Yahya Sinwar becomes leader • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Other • 25%
New leader from within Hamas • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh remains leader • 25%
Leadership transition to external figure • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Saleh al-Arouri • 25%
No change • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh remains leader • 25%
Yahya Sinwar becomes leader • 25%
New leader from within Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
No Change • 25%
Mohammad Deif • 25%
Rafaa Salameh • 25%
Another known Hamas leader • 25%
Unknown new leader • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Khaled Mashal • 25%
Other • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh remains • 33%
Other leader emerges • 33%
Ismail Haniyeh remains leader • 25%
Yahya Sinwar becomes leader • 25%
New leader emerges • 25%
No leader • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Saleh al-Arouri • 25%
Other • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Khaled Mashal • 25%
Other • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Internal power struggle • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 25%
No • 25%
Leadership Reshuffle • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Yahya Sinwar • 25%
Ismail Haniyeh • 25%
Saleh al-Arouri • 25%
Other • 25%
New military leader appointed • 25%
Internal power struggle • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Mohammed Deif replaced • 25%
Rafa’a Salameh replaced • 25%
Both replaced • 25%
Neither replaced • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Saleh al-Arouri • 25%
Other • 25%
Muhammad Sinwar • 25%
Marwan Issa • 25%