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What will be the international response to Ukrainian aid to HTS by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support from NATO • 25%
Sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements and actions from international bodies like the UN, NATO, and EU
Story
Ukraine Aids HTS Rebels in Syria with FPV Drones in Early November
Dec 11, 2024, 09:14 AM
Ukrainian intelligence has reportedly provided support to the Syrian opposition group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in Idlib, Syria, by sending approximately 20 experienced drone operators and around 150 first-person view (FPV) drones in early November, according to The Washington Post, citing unnamed sources. The move is seen as part of Kyiv's strategy to undermine Russian influence in Syria and was aimed at supporting the rebels' offensive against the Syrian army. While the support was not instrumental in overthrowing the Assad government, it has been noted as an attempt to weaken Russia on other fronts.
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Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
Condemnation by NATO • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
HTS loses ground • 25%
HTS maintains current position • 25%
HTS gains significant ground • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant international involvement • 25%
UN mediation • 25%
Russian intervention • 25%
US intervention • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Recognition by major powers • 25%
Other diplomatic response • 25%
Sanctions or military action • 25%
Continued isolation • 25%
Criticism • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Strong support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No noticeable change • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant improvement in food security • 25%
Moderate improvement in food security • 25%