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What will be the international response to the Lebanese-Syrian border situation by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN intervention • 25%
Arab League mediation • 25%
No significant intervention • 25%
Other response • 25%
Official statements from international organizations such as the UN or credible news outlets
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Syria Imposes Entry Restrictions on Lebanese Requiring Residency, Following Border Clash
Jan 3, 2025, 11:12 AM
The Syrian government has imposed entry restrictions on Lebanese citizens, allowing only those with Syrian residency documents to enter the country. This decision follows a border clash between the Lebanese army and Syrian armed groups, as reported by Lebanese security sources. The Lebanese army announced an engagement with Syrians at the border, resulting in an injury and a subsequent skirmish. Syrian authorities have begun enforcing this new policy, turning back Lebanese nationals without residency permits. The Lebanese Internal Security Forces have advised citizens against traveling to Syria due to these recent developments. Additionally, Syrian military operations have deployed reinforcements to the border with Lebanon to control the situation. There are indications that Syria might be imposing a reciprocal visa scheme on Lebanese citizens.
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Increased US involvement • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased Support for Lebanon • 25%
Increased Pressure on Israel • 25%
Call for Renewed Ceasefire • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
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UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
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US sanctions • 25%
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No significant action • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
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Neutral • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of offensive • 25%
Support for opposition • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Calls for ceasefire/negotiation • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
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No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
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Neutral stance • 25%
Support • 25%
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No significant action • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
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No significant change in international response • 25%
Significant increase in humanitarian aid • 25%
New refugee crisis in neighboring countries • 25%
Limited international intervention • 25%