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What will be the international response to the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire situation by March 5, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN intervention • 25%
EU mediation • 25%
US diplomatic pressure • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Statements from the UN, EU, or major world powers reported by credible news agencies
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Israel's Defense Minister Katz Threatens Action if Hezbollah Doesn't Withdraw Beyond Litani River by Deadline
Jan 5, 2025, 11:03 AM
Israel has accused Hezbollah of violating the terms of a ceasefire agreement in southern Lebanon and has threatened to take forceful action if the militant group does not comply. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that the first condition for the ceasefire requires Hezbollah's complete withdrawal beyond the Litani River, disarmament, and the dismantling of its terror infrastructure by the Lebanese Army—conditions that have not been met. Katz warned that if Hezbollah fails to withdraw by the 60-day deadline, "there will be no agreement," and Israel will act independently to ensure the safe return of its residents in the northern region. The fragile truce, which began in November, has been in place for over a month but remains under strain due to ongoing violations and mutual accusations between Israel and Hezbollah, including hundreds of alleged breaches.
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UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
Increased US involvement • 25%
Increased Pressure on Israel • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Call for Renewed Ceasefire • 25%
Increased Support for Lebanon • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread criticism • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN sanctions on both • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Widely supported • 25%
Criticized by major powers • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Largely ignored • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Hezbollah • 25%
Ceasefire mutually violated • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peaceful resolution with full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance with ongoing tensions • 25%