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What will be the international response to Belarusian and Wagner forces buildup by November 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
NATO deploys forces • 25%
EU imposes sanctions • 25%
UN issues condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official statements from NATO, EU, and UN
Story
Ukraine Warns Belarus Over 1,100 Troops and Wagner Buildup at Border
Aug 25, 2024, 06:31 PM
The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry has issued a warning to Belarus over the concentration of troops and military equipment near Ukraine's northern border. According to Ukrainian intelligence, about 1,100 Belarusian armed forces, including special operations units and Wagner Group mercenaries, are amassing under the guise of military exercises in the Gomel region, up to 50 kilometers from the border. The buildup includes tanks, artillery, air defense systems, and engineering equipment. Ukraine demands the immediate withdrawal of these forces, cautioning Belarus against making 'tragic mistakes' under Moscow's influence. Kyiv emphasizes its right to self-defense and threatens potential retaliation if the border is violated.
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Sanctions by the EU • 25%
Sanctions by the US • 25%
Sanctions by both EU and US • 25%
No significant sanctions • 25%
Sanctions by the EU • 25%
Sanctions by the US • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
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Support from Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Troops remain without conflict • 25%
Troops withdraw without conflict • 25%
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Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
UN sanctions on Russia • 25%
UN sanctions on Belarus • 25%
UN peacekeeping mission • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
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No • 50%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
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Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
Peacekeeping forces deployed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
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