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What will be the international response to the potential conflict involving Belarus by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN sanctions on Russia • 25%
UN sanctions on Belarus • 25%
UN peacekeeping mission • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Verified news reports from reputable sources such as BBC, CNN, or official statements from international organizations like the UN or NATO
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Putin and Lukashenko Warn of Nuclear Response to NATO Aggression on Belarus
Sep 27, 2024, 09:49 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has issued a stern warning that any external aggression against Belarus will be considered an attack on Russia, potentially triggering the use of nuclear weapons. This statement underscores the strategic importance of Belarus to Russia's security framework. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, speaking to BelTA, echoed this sentiment, asserting that nuclear weapons will be deployed if NATO attacks Belarus. Lukashenko emphasized that such an event could mark the beginning of the third world war. Putin also mentioned that Belarus is part of Russia's 'nuclear shield.' These declarations highlight the escalating tensions between Russia, Belarus, and NATO, with nuclear capabilities being a central element of their defense strategies.
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Sanctions by the EU • 25%
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