Loading...
Market
What will be the impact on U.S.-Mexico relations by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strained Relations • 25%
Improved Cooperation • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic statements and analysis from international relations experts
Story
Trump to Designate Cartels as Terrorist Organizations on Day One, Allowing Sanctions and Military Action
Jan 19, 2025, 11:05 PM
President-elect Donald Trump plans to classify Mexican drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations through an executive order on his first day in office after his swearing-in at the U.S. Capitol. This designation, reported by Fox News, would allow the U.S. government to impose sanctions and potentially take military action against these groups. Stephen Miller, Trump's policy advisor, has been involved in discussions with Republican members of Congress regarding this action. The initiative aims to address the growing threat posed by cartels such as the Tren de Aragua, which have expanded their operations within the United States.
View original story
Similar markets
Other Outcome • 25%
Positive Engagement • 25%
Negative Response • 25%
Neutral Stance • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Severely damaged relations • 25%
Drug Cartel Cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Border Security • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No change • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Severely damaged relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic talks ongoing • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Uncertain outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Support • 25%
Oppose • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Stable relations • 25%
Significant deterioration • 25%
Minor tensions • 25%
Improved cooperation • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations severely deteriorate • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain stable • 25%