Loading...
Market
How will Trump's cartel order affect U.S.-Mexico relations by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain stable • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations severely deteriorate • 25%
Official statements or reports from U.S. Department of State or Mexican Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Story
Trump to Classify Mexican Drug Cartels as Terrorist Organizations on Day One
Jan 19, 2025, 10:16 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump plans to classify Mexican drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations through an early executive order on day one of his presidency. This move, reported by multiple sources including Reuters, Fox News, and Punchbowl News, aims to unlock new authorities to enhance homeland security. Stephen Miller, Trump's domestic policy advisor, has been in communication with Republican members of the House and Senate regarding this executive order.
View original story
Similar markets
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Severely damaged relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severely damaged relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New diplomatic agreement • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Improved cooperation • 25%
Minor tensions • 25%
Significant deterioration • 25%
Stable relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved Cooperation • 25%
Strained Relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Significant joint operations • 25%
Increased intelligence sharing • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Unchanged cooperation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Other • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Neutral • 25%