Loading...
Market
How will Trump's immigration policies affect U.S.-Mexico relations by end of 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Trump•Tom Homan•New York City•Eric Adams•San Diego•Republican Party•GOP•Congressional Republicans•Johnson
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Severely damaged relations • 25%
Official diplomatic communications or credible news reports
Story
Trump Plans Mass Deportation, End to Birthright Citizenship Amid GOP Debate
Dec 11, 2024, 10:00 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is set to implement a stringent immigration policy, focusing on mass deportation and ending birthright citizenship. Trump's plan includes deporting all undocumented migrants who have entered the U.S. over the past decade, with families being deported together. His incoming border czar, Tom Homan, has warned sanctuary city mayors to cooperate or face prosecution. New York City Mayor Eric Adams has shown support for Trump's deportation plan. Meanwhile, San Diego has raised the bar for cooperation with immigration officials in anticipation of Trump's efforts. Trump's agenda has sparked a debate within the Republican Party, with some GOP senators attempting to moderate his more extreme proposals while maintaining party unity. Congressional Republicans, led by Speaker Johnson, are determined to secure the border and dismantle what they refer to as the 'deep state'.
View original story
Similar markets
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Tensions with other countries • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Strained Relations • 25%
No Change • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations unchanged • 25%
Relations worsen slightly • 25%
Relations significantly worsen • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Unclear Impact • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain stable • 25%
Relations deteriorate slightly • 25%
Relations deteriorate significantly • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal agreements signed • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal diplomatic protests • 25%
Significant deterioration • 25%
Minor tensions • 25%
Stable relations • 25%
Improved cooperation • 25%
Major changes enacted • 25%
Minor changes enacted • 25%
No changes enacted • 25%
Policies reversed by courts • 25%
Condemnation by major countries • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Mixed international reactions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Formal diplomatic dispute • 25%