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What will be the impact on the civilian population due to Hezbollah's evacuation orders and subsequent actions by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant displacement • 25%
Increase in casualties • 25%
Humanitarian aid required • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Reports from humanitarian organizations such as the Red Cross or UNHCR
Story
Hezbollah Orders Evacuation of 25 Israeli Settlements in Northern Occupied Palestine
Oct 26, 2024, 05:59 PM
Hezbollah has issued evacuation orders for residents of 25 Israeli settlements in northern occupied Palestine, citing that these areas have become bases for Israeli military forces attacking Lebanon. The statement, which was released in multiple formats including video and written messages in Hebrew, warns that these settlements are now considered legitimate military targets for Hezbollah's air and missile forces. The organization has characterized these areas as places of deployment and settlement for enemy forces, urging immediate evacuation to avoid potential harm.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant impact • 33%
Moderate impact (limited casualties and damage) • 33%
Severe impact (high casualties and widespread damage) • 33%
Increased displacement • 33%
Increased casualties • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant civilian displacement • 25%
Moderate civilian displacement • 25%
Minimal civilian displacement • 25%
No significant impact on civilians • 25%
0-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
101-200 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
200,000 to 300,000 • 25%
More than 300,000 • 25%
Severe disruption • 25%
Moderate disruption • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Less than 50 casualties • 25%
50-100 casualties • 25%
More than 100 casualties • 25%
Cannot be determined • 25%
Significantly weakened • 25%
Moderately weakened • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Hezbollah strengthens • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
100-499 • 25%
500-999 • 25%
1000 or more • 25%
Significantly weakened • 25%
Moderately weakened • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Significantly weakened • 25%
Moderately weakened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Strengthened • 25%