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How many people will be displaced due to Israel-Hezbollah conflict by Dec 31, 2024?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Hezbollah•Lebanon•Netanyahu•Israel•Yoav Gallant•Lloyd Austin•Gallant•Gideon Saar•Amos Hochstein•Houthi missile attack
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
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Reports from humanitarian organizations such as the UN or verified news reports
Story
Netanyahu Signals Escalation Against Hezbollah in Lebanon Amid Tensions with Gallant Over 100,000 Displaced
Sep 16, 2024, 03:25 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has indicated a potential escalation of military actions against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Netanyahu stated that the current situation on Israel's northern border requires a shift in the balance of power. This comes amid warnings from Hezbollah about further displacements if Israel proceeds with its military plans, which could affect hundreds of thousands, including 100,000 already displaced people. Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has discussed the situation with U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, emphasizing the need for military action to return northern residents to their homes. Meanwhile, Netanyahu is considering firing Gallant over disagreements on the Lebanon operation, with Gideon Saar being mentioned as a potential replacement. U.S. officials, including special envoy Amos Hochstein, have cautioned against expanding the conflict, suggesting it may not achieve Israel's goals and could lead to a broader regional conflict. The discussions also touched upon the recent Houthi missile attack and the heightened tensions since October 7.
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