Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of Trump's TikTok presence on his polling numbers by November 1, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by 1-5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
Major polling agencies and news outlets
Story
Donald Trump Joins TikTok, Gains 3 Million Followers, Surpasses Biden
Jun 2, 2024, 03:30 PM
Former President Donald Trump has joined TikTok, the social media platform he once tried to ban during his presidency. Trump's first post on the app was made from UFC 302, where he was accompanied by UFC President Dana White. Within less than 24 hours, Trump amassed over 3 million followers, significantly surpassing the Biden campaign's 337,000 followers. His first post received 24 million views and 1.3 million likes. Trump described joining TikTok as 'an honor.' The rapid follower growth highlights TikTok's potential as a platform for political engagement, especially among younger voters. The move comes as TikTok faces ongoing scrutiny in Washington over its ties to China.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 5 million • 25%
5 million to 10 million • 25%
10 million to 20 million • 25%
More than 20 million • 25%
Less than 10 million • 25%
10 million to 20 million • 25%
20 million to 50 million • 25%
More than 50 million • 25%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Significantly Positive • 25%
Slightly Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negative • 25%
Net Positive Effect • 33%
Net Negative Effect • 33%
No Significant Change • 33%
Mostly Favorable • 33%
Mostly Unfavorable • 33%
Mixed/Neutral • 34%
Less than 50 million views • 25%
50 million to 100 million views • 25%
100 million to 200 million views • 25%
More than 200 million views • 25%
Drop out of race • 25%
Continue campaign with reduced support • 25%
Continue campaign with same support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Increase • 50%
Decrease • 50%