Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of Trump's re-election on NATO by end of 2024?
3
UK•Keir Starmer•European Union•US•Donald Trump•Navy•West•Starmer•Trump•Britain•French•Emmanuel Macron•Paris•Armistice Day•European•NATO•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened NATO • 25%
Weakened NATO • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Official NATO statements or major defense analysis reports
Story
Starmer Urged by Ex-Navy Chief to Boost UK Defense Spending to 3% GDP; Meets Macron Amid NATO Concerns
Nov 10, 2024, 09:24 PM
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is being urged to increase defense spending and strengthen ties with the European Union following the re-election of US President Donald Trump. Former Navy Chief Lord West has called on Starmer to allocate 3% of GDP to defense to win Trump's support. Reports indicate that Starmer plans to announce an increase in defense spending to 2.5% of GDP in spring 2025, after Trump's inauguration, as a peace gesture aimed at establishing good relations with the new US administration. There are also calls for an emergency cash injection into defense and to accelerate Britain's planned defense review. Starmer's congratulations to Trump this week signal his pragmatic willingness to forge a working relationship with the incoming president. Starmer is set to hold talks with French President Emmanuel Macron in Paris during Armistice Day to discuss European defense and solidarity amid concerns about the future of NATO and the situation in Ukraine after Trump's victory.
View original story
Similar markets
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Divided • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Threatened withdrawal • 25%
Reduced support for NATO • 25%
Increased role • 25%
Decreased role • 25%
No change • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Supportive of Trump's actions • 25%
Critical of Trump's actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other response • 25%
NATO reduces involvement • 25%
NATO increases involvement • 25%
NATO maintains current role • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
US remains in NATO • 25%
US withdraws from NATO • 25%
US reduces involvement • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
Stronger NATO support • 25%
Weaker NATO support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No change • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
5% GDP target agreed • 25%
3.5% GDP target agreed • 25%
No increase agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%