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What will be the impact of the ceasefire on Gaza's humanitarian situation by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant improvement in humanitarian conditions • 25%
Moderate improvement in humanitarian conditions • 25%
No change in humanitarian conditions • 25%
Worsening of humanitarian conditions • 25%
Reports from international humanitarian organizations such as the Red Cross or UN
Story
Trump's Team Critical in Securing Israel-Hamas Ceasefire and Gaza Hostage Deal by January 20
Jan 15, 2025, 08:31 PM
The U.S. State Department has acknowledged the critical role played by President-elect Donald Trump's team in securing a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas. State Department Spokesman Matthew Miller stated that the involvement of Trump's team was 'absolutely critical in getting this deal over the line.' The ceasefire, which also addresses the hostage situation in Gaza, is set to be completed by January 20, 2025, just before the end of the current administration's term. The State Department expressed gratitude towards the Trump team for their efforts in facilitating the agreement.
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Moderate decrease in hostilities • 25%
Significant decrease in hostilities • 25%
No change in hostilities • 25%
Increase in hostilities • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
No change • 25%
No change • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Worsening conditions • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
Long-term ceasefire • 25%
Short-term ceasefire • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Aid delivery disrupted • 25%
Aid partially delivered • 25%
No significant aid delivered • 25%
Aid successfully delivered • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
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Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
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Ceasefire in effect • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with major conflict • 25%
Ceasefire holds with no major violations • 25%
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Agreement approved and implemented • 25%
Negotiations continue beyond deadline • 25%
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Agreement approved but not implemented • 25%
Reduction in operations • 25%
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Cease of operations • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
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Temporary ceasefire • 25%
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No ceasefire • 25%