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What will be the extent of damage and casualties in Israel due to the missile attack by October 8, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Minor damage, no casualties • 25%
Moderate damage, some casualties • 25%
Severe damage, significant casualties • 25%
Catastrophic damage, high casualties • 25%
Reports from Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), international news agencies
Story
Iran Launches Missile Attack on Israel, Over 100 Missiles Fired
Oct 1, 2024, 04:41 PM
Iran has launched a significant missile attack against Israel, according to multiple sources including the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF). Reports indicate that over 100 ballistic and cruise missiles have been fired from Iran towards various targets in Israel, with some sources suggesting the number could be as high as 400 missiles. The situation is developing as more information becomes available, and the extent of the damage and casualties, if any, is not yet clear.
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Similar markets
0-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
Over 100 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
101+ • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
0-49 • 25%
50-99 • 25%
100-199 • 25%
200 or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Missile attacks cease without further escalation • 25%
Missile attacks continue with limited escalation • 25%
Missile attacks lead to significant military conflict • 25%
Missile attacks lead to diplomatic resolution • 25%
No missile attack occurs • 25%
Missile attack occurs, no significant retaliation • 25%
Missile attack occurs, Israel retaliates • 25%
Missile attack occurs, U.S. retaliates • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
101 to 200 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
No damage • 25%
Minor damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
Severe damage • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
