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What will be the confirmed outcome of the alleged Israeli incursion near Damascus by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed incursion • 25%
No incursion confirmed • 25%
Partial incursion confirmed • 25%
Outcome remains disputed • 25%
Official statements from involved parties and verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Israeli Forces Allegedly Reach 25 km from Damascus Amid Buffer Zone Seizure, Over 250 Airstrikes
Dec 10, 2024, 08:30 AM
Reports emerged on Tuesday claiming that an Israeli military incursion into Syria had advanced approximately 25 kilometers (16 miles) southwest of Damascus, according to multiple security sources. The incursion was said to follow Israel's seizure of a buffer zone in southern Syria and over 250 airstrikes on Syrian military targets, including army and air bases. However, an Israeli military spokesperson denied these claims, stating that Israeli forces have not moved beyond the buffer zone near the Golan Heights and are operating solely within defensive positions close to the border. The spokesperson dismissed the reports as 'completely incorrect.'
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Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued presence • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Withdrawal without conditions • 25%
Withdrawal with conditions • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Escalation to broader conflict • 25%
Withdrawal without conflict • 25%
Ongoing occupation • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Extended military conflict • 25%
Increased tensions with Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal with no incidents • 25%
Prolonged deployment due to ongoing threats • 25%
Escalation into wider conflict • 25%
Deployment leads to peace negotiations • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Complete Withdrawal • 25%
Increased Presence • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action • 25%