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What concessions will Ukraine make in a peace deal by April 20, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg
Resolution / Starting Odds
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Political Concessions • 25%
Economic Concessions • 25%
No Concessions • 25%
Details from the official peace agreement or statements from the Ukrainian government
Story
Trump Aims to End Ukraine War by Easter, Appoints Keith Kellogg as Envoy, Resolving Conflict by January 20
Jan 8, 2025, 07:59 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has prioritized ending the war in Ukraine, announcing plans to resolve the conflict within the first 100 days of his administration. Appointing General Keith Kellogg as the special representative for Ukraine and Russia, Trump aims to secure a solution that preserves Ukraine's sovereignty. Analysts suggest that a potential deal could emerge by Easter, contingent upon concessions from both Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Kellogg emphasized that the administration's approach will not involve yielding to Russian demands, but rather focus on fairness and the protection of Ukraine's territorial integrity.
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Lifting of sanctions • 25%
Other condition • 25%
NATO non-expansion guarantee • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Non-aligned status for Ukraine • 25%
Demilitarization • 25%
Other or no agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without conditions • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk • 25%
Crimea only • 25%
Crimea and Donetsk • 25%
Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, and Zaporizhzhia • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%