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What major concession will Ukraine make in peace talks with Russia by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Territorial concession • 25%
Political concession • 25%
Economic concession • 25%
No major concession • 25%
Official announcements from the involved governments or credible international news outlets
Story
Trump Nominee Rubio Urges End to Russia-Ukraine War, Calls for Bold Diplomacy and Concessions
Jan 15, 2025, 04:09 PM
Marco Rubio, nominated by President-elect Donald Trump to be the U.S. Secretary of State, has called for the Russia-Ukraine war to end, stating it should be the official policy of the United States. Rubio emphasized the need for 'bold diplomacy' to achieve a ceasefire and ultimately a peace settlement, acknowledging that both Russia and Ukraine will need to make concessions. He highlighted the difficulty in ending the conflict without leverage for both sides, and noted the unsustainable loss of life in Ukraine, stating, 'The problem that Ukraine is facing is not that they're running out of money, it's that they're running out of Ukrainians.' Rubio also mentioned that it is unrealistic for Ukraine to push Russia back to its pre-February 2022 positions, indicating a need for a realistic approach to peace negotiations. Rubio described the war as unacceptable but necessary to end.
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Other • 25%
Political Neutrality • 25%
Economic Agreements • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawal of Troops • 25%
Recognition of Ukrainian Sovereignty • 25%
Economic Compensation • 25%
No concession • 25%
Political concession • 25%
Economic concession • 25%
Territorial concession • 25%
Political Concessions • 25%
Economic Concessions • 25%
No Concessions • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Economic agreements • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial changes • 25%
Other • 25%
NATO non-expansion guarantee • 25%
Lifting of sanctions • 25%
Other condition • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Ceasefire without conditions • 25%
Demilitarization • 25%
Non-aligned status for Ukraine • 25%
Other or no agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
New Framework • 25%
Istanbul Agreements • 25%
Economic reparations • 25%
Political autonomy • 25%
Territorial disputes • 25%
Security guarantees • 25%
Territorial concession • 25%
Political concession • 25%
Economic concession • 25%
No concession • 25%