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What will be President Yoon's political role if impeached by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Retires from politics • 25%
Forms a new political party • 25%
Joins another political party • 25%
No significant political role • 25%
Official announcements or major news outlets
Story
South Korea's Ruling Party Backs Second Impeachment Motion Against President Yoon Over Martial Law
Dec 13, 2024, 08:47 PM
South Korea's six opposition parties have submitted a second impeachment motion against President Yoon Suk Yeol over his controversial declaration of martial law. The impeachment vote is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. on Saturday, December 14, in the National Assembly. The likelihood of its passage has increased as at least seven members of the ruling conservative People Power Party have indicated they will support it. The leader of the ruling party stated there is 'no other way' but to impeach President Yoon following the short-lived martial law declaration, which was heavily criticized and retracted shortly after being announced. With President Yoon's approval rating plummeting to 11%, the impeachment motion requires a two-thirds majority in the 300-seat assembly. The first impeachment attempt was scrapped last Saturday due to insufficient support, but growing backing within the ruling party suggests the motion may succeed this time.
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Remains in office with full powers • 25%
Undergoes significant political reform • 25%
Voluntarily steps down • 25%
Faces another impeachment attempt • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
New presidential elections called • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached by National Assembly • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resigns from office • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Remains in Office • 25%
Impeached and Removed • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Other • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Other resolution • 34%
Reinstated • 33%
Removed from office • 33%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Yoon resigns before conclusion • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%