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What will be Israel's strategic decision towards Iran by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Military strike on Iranian military targets • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with Iran • 25%
Increased sanctions or economic measures against Iran • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible international news agencies
Story
Netanyahu tells U.S. Israel may strike Iran's military targets; PM's office asserts national interests prevail
Oct 14, 2024, 09:02 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has informed the Biden administration that Israel is willing to strike Iranian military targets rather than nuclear or oil facilities, reserving these for potential future escalation, according to an exclusive report by the Washington Post citing officials familiar with the matter. The Prime Minister's office responded, stating, 'We listen to the opinions of the American administration, but we will make our final decisions based on Israel's national interests.' This approach suggests a more limited counterstrike aimed at preventing a wider conflict.
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Military strike • 33%
Diplomatic engagement • 33%
No action • 34%
Overthrow attempt • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military action against Israel • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations with the US • 25%
Continued postponement without action • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
Military action approved • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No response • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Major conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No military response • 25%
Increased operational success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased Iranian defense capabilities • 25%
De-escalation of tensions • 25%