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What will be Hezbollah's strategic response to tunnel destruction by February 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase military activities • 25%
Seek diplomatic solutions • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis and reports from intelligence agencies or major news outlets
Story
IDF Destroys Hezbollah Tunnels in Southern Lebanon Using 100 Tons of Explosives on October 19
Oct 19, 2024, 03:30 PM
On October 19, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) exposed and destroyed a significant network of Hezbollah tunnels in southern Lebanon. The IDF revealed a 100-meter tunnel embedded under a house and provided an inside look into these tunnels through video releases. The operation targeted Hezbollah's elite Radwan Force, with the IDF using over 100 tons of explosives to demolish four major tunnels. The IDF reported the destruction of more than 50 underground tunnels as part of this extensive operation.
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Significantly reduced • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Expanded • 25%
Increased attacks • 25%
Decreased attacks • 25%
Shift to diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Condemnation of Hezbollah • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Call for peace talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increase local arms production • 25%
Seek new international allies • 25%
Focus on political influence in Lebanon • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Condemnation of Hezbollah • 25%
Call for peace talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Condemnation of Hezbollah • 25%
Calls for peace negotiations • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Israeli forces withdraw after dismantling • 25%
Israeli forces remain beyond planned period • 25%
Israeli forces withdraw without dismantling • 25%
Israeli forces increase presence • 25%
Another missile launch • 25%
Ground attack • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No further action • 25%
Tunnels destroyed by IDF • 25%
Tunnels remain intact • 25%
Tunnels dismantled by Hezbollah • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%