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How will Hezbollah's military strategy change following Israel's response by February 28, 2025?
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Israel•Hezbollah•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Mount Dov•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel Katz•Bezalel Smotrich•Katz•Smotrich•Netanyahu•Herzi Halevi
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased attacks • 25%
Decreased attacks • 25%
Shift to diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from intelligence agencies or credible international news sources
Story
Israel Vows "Harsh Response" After Hezbollah's Attack on Mount Dov Violates Ceasefire
Dec 2, 2024, 04:56 PM
Israel has accused Hezbollah of violating the ceasefire agreement after Hezbollah fired mortars at an Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) position in the Mount Dov area today. Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Israel Katz, and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, warned that Israel will respond strongly to this "serious violation" of the ceasefire. Katz stated that Hezbollah's action would be met with a "harsh response," while Smotrich said Hezbollah made a "serious mistake" and called for a "powerful blow." Netanyahu emphasized Israel's determination to enforce the ceasefire and respond to any violations, with Israel reportedly planning to respond within hours. IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi also stated that the military has plans ready to be activated at any moment in response to Hezbollah's actions.
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No significant change • 25%
Moderately weakened • 25%
Significantly weakened • 25%
Strengthened capabilities • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased military activity • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No response • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Hezbollah weakens • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased attacks • 25%
Decreased attacks • 25%
Shift to diplomatic efforts • 25%
Complies with demands • 25%
Escalates conflict • 25%
Ignores ultimatum • 25%
Negotiates new terms • 25%
Increase local arms production • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Focus on political influence in Lebanon • 25%
Seek new international allies • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
