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What will be Hezbollah's military actions in response to an Israeli ground incursion by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Rocket Attacks • 25%
Ground Combat • 25%
Combination of Both • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Verified news reports from major news outlets and official statements from Hezbollah
Story
Hezbollah Ready for Israeli Ground Incursion, Confident of Victory, Says Deputy Chief
Sep 30, 2024, 09:17 AM
Hezbollah's Deputy Secretary-General, Sheikh Naim Qassem, has declared that the group is prepared for any potential Israeli ground incursion into southern Lebanon. Qassem emphasized that Hezbollah's fighters are ready to engage in ground combat and are confident that Israel will not achieve its goals. He stated that the resistance is prepared for a long battle and all options are open. Qassem also mentioned that despite ongoing conflicts, Hezbollah's military capabilities remain intact, and their rockets continue to be operational. He assured that Hezbollah will emerge victorious and that their actions are part of an ongoing battle plan.
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Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale retaliation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah gains ground • 25%
Israel gains ground • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Another rocket attack • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
Increased border skirmishes • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
Increased attacks on Israeli positions • 25%
Defensive operations only • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Hezbollah successfully repels incursion • 25%
Israel successfully advances • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
No incursion occurs • 25%
Retaliatory attacks on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Increased arms smuggling efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Another rocket attack on Israel • 25%
Ground incursion into Israel • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah increases border patrols • 25%
Hezbollah launches retaliatory attacks • 25%
Hezbollah engages in peace talks • 25%
No significant actions taken • 25%
Launch more missile attacks • 25%
Increase ground operations near the border • 25%
Seek a ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Retaliate with another attack • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Retaliatory attack on Israel • 25%
Increase in propaganda efforts • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Ground engagement with IDF • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No significant response • 25%