Loading...
Market
What will be determined as the primary origin of COVID-19 by an international investigation by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Natural spillover from animals to humans • 25%
Laboratory leak • 25%
Other natural source • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Official report from an international investigation body such as WHO
Story
New Study Links COVID-19 Origins to Wuhan Market Animals, Including Raccoon Dog DNA
Sep 19, 2024, 07:30 PM
A new study published in the journal Cell provides substantial evidence supporting the theory that the COVID-19 pandemic originated from infected animals sold at the Huanan Seafood Market in Wuhan, China. The study, which analyzed over 800 surface samples collected from wildlife stalls, points to a natural spillover of the virus from animals to humans. This genetic analysis, which includes raccoon dog DNA, contradicts earlier claims and suggests that the pandemic likely began in early December 2019 with Lineage A, although early market cases were all Lineage B. The research has sparked controversy, with some scientists questioning its premises and calling for an investigation into possible scientific misconduct.
View original story
Similar markets
Supports zoonotic spillover • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Lab Leak • 25%
Natural Origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. lab origin confirmed • 25%
Chinese lab origin confirmed • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
Origin remains inconclusive • 25%
Confirms lab leak • 25%
Refutes lab leak • 25%
Calls for more research • 25%
No definitive conclusion • 25%
Wuhan Market Animals • 25%
Laboratory Origin • 25%
Other Natural Source • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Confirmed as engineered • 25%
Confirmed as natural • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
USA • 25%
China • 25%
World Health Organization (WHO) • 25%
Other • 25%
Supports natural spillover theory • 25%
Supports lab leak theory • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Supports animal origin theory • 25%
Supports lab leak theory • 25%
Supports new theory • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%