Loading...
Market
What will be determined as the primary cause of the Palisades Fire by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Natural causes • 25%
Human negligence • 25%
Arson • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation reports from Los Angeles Fire Department or state authorities
Story
Two Detained Near Kamala Harris's Brentwood Home Amid Palisades Fire Curfew, No Burglary Evidence
Jan 12, 2025, 08:06 AM
On Saturday, Los Angeles police responded to a report of a possible burglary at the Brentwood home of Vice President Kamala Harris. The call came in around 4:30 a.m., prompting an investigation. No evidence of a burglary was found, but two individuals were detained for violating a curfew that was in effect due to the nearby Palisades Fire. The detained individuals were later released as no crime was found to have been committed. The Palisades Fire, which has been raging and is only 11% contained, has led to mandatory evacuations in the area, including the neighborhood where Harris's $4.79M home is located. The wildfires have resulted in 5 deaths and have destroyed or damaged over 5,000 structures, covering more than 23,600 acres.
View original story
Similar markets
Human activity • 25%
Other/unknown • 25%
Equipment malfunction • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Human negligence • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Other causes • 25%
Arson • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Infrastructure failure • 25%
Human activity • 25%
Arson • 25%
Human negligence • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Human negligence • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Arson • 25%
Human activity (e.g., arson) • 25%
Other • 25%
Utility equipment failure • 25%
Natural causes (e.g., lightning) • 25%
Other • 25%
Human activity • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Equipment failure • 25%
Arson • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Human negligence • 25%
Equipment malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Human activity • 25%
Other • 25%
Human activity • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Electrical fault • 25%
Drought conditions • 25%
Human activity • 25%
Water management issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Human activity • 25%