Market
What will be Chrystia Freeland's political outcome by end of 2025?
Wins University–Rosedale seat • 25%
Appointed to new cabinet position • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Chrystia Freeland or major news outlets
Story
Chrystia Freeland Resigns as Canada's Finance Minister After Demotion, Commits to Run in 2025
Dec 16, 2024, 02:16 PM
Chrystia Freeland has resigned as Canada's Finance Minister following a demotion offer from Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. In her resignation statement, Freeland expressed that she found herself at odds with Trudeau regarding the best path forward for Canada. Despite stepping down from her cabinet position, Freeland confirmed her commitment to run again in the University–Rosedale riding during the 2025 election. The resignation occurs amid declining support for the Liberal Party in Quebec, leading to speculation about the stability of Trudeau's government. Freeland's departure marks a significant shift in the cabinet, as she was a prominent figure in managing Canada's economic policies, particularly in relation to the challenges posed by the U.S. economy under President Trump.
View original story
Similar markets
Return to private sector • 25%
Other • 25%
Advocate/NGO role • 25%
Leader of a political party • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Runs as independent • 25%
Runs as Liberal candidate • 25%
Other political role • 25%
Does not run • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Retires from politics • 25%
Holds another political office • 25%
Elected President • 25%
Elected California Governor • 25%
Other • 25%
New PM from Conservative Party • 25%
New PM from Liberal Party • 25%
New PM from NDP • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains active in politics without running • 25%
Announces run for another office • 25%
Liberal Party leadership change • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Trudeau remains PM • 25%
Trudeau resigns • 25%
Liberal Party retains power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New Democratic Party wins • 25%
Conservative Party wins • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Runs for Governor • 25%
Other • 25%
Joins a private organization • 25%
Returns to Senate • 25%